Quantifying European supply chain and economic security exposure
Supply chain, economic security, and resilience intelligence for European policymakers and analysts — foreign dependencies, supply exposures, and diversification options assessed at country, sector, and product level
Reports
SCE Insight produces Supply Chain & Economic Security Vulnerabilities Country Reports. Each report covers one EU country across all 19 manufacturing sectors and answers four questions: which sectors would damage the national economy most if disrupted; how dependent those sectors are on foreign supply, and who could disrupt it; what diversification options exist for the dependencies that matter; and what the bottom line is for the country.The analysis builds on and extends established input-output and trade methodologies, using the OECD Inter-Country Input-Output tables, CEPII-BACI bilateral trade data, and Eurostat national accounts. Findings are given at country, sector, and product level. Each report includes an expert consultation to discuss the findings.To discuss a report, contact [email protected]
Foreign Supply Dependency Index (FSDI)
The FSDI is a composite measure of extra-EU supply chain exposure for each of the 27 EU member states across 19 manufacturing sectors. It builds on and extends supplier concentration and import reliance indicators from the European Commission DG GROW methodology at sector level, weighted by each input's share of the focal sector's production structure derived from the OECD Inter-Country Input-Output tables.For each country and sector, the FSDI asks two questions: how concentrated is the supply of each upstream input among a small number of non-EU countries, and how dependent is the sector on those non-EU sources? The answers are weighted by how much each input actually matters to production — so a critical raw material used heavily across the sector counts more than a marginal one. The result is a single score that tells policymakers where foreign supply chain exposure is structurally high, not just where imports are large.
About
SCE Insight is a Finnish analytical firm providing supply chain, economic security, and resilience intelligence for European organisations. Our work spans the full range of supply chain and economic security questions — from quantifying foreign dependencies and supply exposures to assessing resilience and mapping diversification options, at country, sector, and product level.SCE Insight was founded by Henri Heikkonen, formerly an economic analyst at the European Commission's DG GROW chief economist unit.
Research
This working paper may be downloaded and shared for non-commercial professional use. Commercial reproduction, adaptation, or redistribution requires written permission from SCE Insight.
Contact
© 2026 SCE Insight. All Rights Reserved.
SCE Insight is a Finnish sole trader (toiminimi) registered at the Finnish Patent and Registration Office (PRH).
Owner: Henri Heikkonen
Business ID (Y-tunnus): 3621370-2
Registered address: Kakolankatu 5 A 01, 20100 Turku, Finland
Email: [email protected]
VAT: Not registered